Global Coffee Prices Surge to Record Highs Amid Weather Woes

December 12, 2024

Coffee enthusiasts around the globe may soon find their morning cup costing significantly more as coffee prices soar to near 50-year highs. The dramatic rise is attributed to adverse weather conditions in major coffee-producing regions, threatening the livelihoods of farmers and the budgets of consumers alike.

Dak Nong, Vietnam. Coffee Tree.

Dak Nong, Vietnam. Coffee Tree. Photo:
Dang Cong

Vietnam, the world’s leading producer of robusta coffee beans, has faced a challenging growing season marked by drought followed by heavy rains during the harvest period. These extremes have severely impacted the yield, further tightening an already strained supply chain.

Meanwhile, in Brazil, the largest exporter of arabica beans, a prolonged dry spell has caused concerns about the upcoming harvest. Arabica beans, prized for their smoother flavor, have seen significant price hikes, adding pressure to global markets.

For consumers, the price hike is palpable. Coffee drinkers in Europe and North America report paying up to 50% more for their favorite brews compared to pre-2019 prices. Analysts warn that prices are likely to remain high well into 2025.

Coffee giants are taking varied approaches to navigate the crisis. Starbucks, under the leadership of CEO Brian Niccol, has announced plans to enhance customer experiences by reintroducing condiment bars, serving dine-in orders in ceramic mugs, and optimizing store operations to ensure orders are ready in under 30 seconds. Despite the rising costs, Starbucks has paused price increases for the fiscal year, hoping to retain customer loyalty.

Conversely, major Brazilian coffee roasters, including industry leader JDE Peet’s, have already announced price hikes averaging 30% starting early next year, citing surging raw bean costs.

The coffee industry is also under scrutiny for its labor practices. Reports from China’s Yunnan province allege labor violations, including child labor and excessive working hours, involving suppliers to Nestlé and Starbucks. Both companies are cooperating with investigations and reiterate their commitment to ethical sourcing.

In the U.S., labor disputes have intensified as unionization efforts grow. Five baristas from La Colombe Coffee Roasters in Chicago were recently dismissed, allegedly for their roles in organizing. The case has drawn national attention to working conditions in the specialty coffee sector.

Amid the turmoil, the profession of baristas has gained cultural recognition. The Real Academia Española (RAE) has officially added “barista” to its dictionary, acknowledging the critical role these skilled professionals play in the global coffee ecosystem.

As the industry faces unprecedented challenges, from environmental crises to labor rights issues, its resilience and adaptability will be tested in the coming years. For now, the humble coffee bean remains both a staple and a luxury, connecting millions worldwide over a shared love for the brew.

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